June is National Safety Month. Most employers acknowledge it with a poster in the break room or a safety memo to staff. A smaller number actually use it as the trigger it’s designed to be — a structured moment to evaluate what’s driving their workers’ compensation costs and what can be done about it before next renewal.
Let’s talk about that smaller group. Because right now, the workers’ comp market is genuinely rewarding them.
According to NCCI’s 2026 State of the Line data, written workers’ compensation premiums are expected to decrease by an average of 5% from 2025 to 2026 across NCCI-governed jurisdictions. The system combined ratio sits at 91% — a sign of strong underwriting profitability. In plain terms: the market has room to reward employers who manage their risk well. The question is whether your business is set up to capture that benefit or whether you’re subsidizing someone else’s claims.
What Your Experience Mod Is Actually Telling You
Your Experience Modification Rate (EMR) is the single most powerful lever in your workers’ compensation cost structure. Set by NCCI using three years of claims data, it compares your actual losses to what’s expected for a business of your type and size. An EMR of 1.0 is industry average. Below 1.0 and you’re paying less than average because you’ve earned it. Above 1.0 and you’re paying a surcharge.
Here’s what the math looks like in practice: an improvement from a 1.2 EMR to a 0.8 EMR on a $1 million workers’ comp premium saves $400,000 annually. That’s not a rounding error. That’s a real business outcome attached to safety culture, claims management, and loss prevention investment.
What most business owners don’t realize is that frequency, the number of claims, penalizes them more than severity in the EMR calculation. A cluster of small claims will spike your mod more than a single serious one. This means that a slip-and-fall culture, where minor injuries are common and unreported near-misses are routine, is actively inflating your premium year after year.

The Three Levers Most Businesses Aren’t Pulling
- Return-to-Work Programs
Every day an injured employee is out of work costs money — both in indemnity payments and in the signal it sends to your experience modification. A structured return-to-work program that brings employees back to modified duty as quickly as medically appropriate dramatically reduces indemnity claim duration. According to the National Safety Council, businesses with active return-to-work programs consistently see lower average claim durations and measurable EMR improvement over a three-year window, yet many small and mid-sized employers still have no formal program in place. - Safety Culture, Not Safety Theater
There is a difference between posting OSHA-required signage and building a workplace where people actually report near-misses, correct hazards in real time, and feel accountable for each other’s safety. NSC’s 2026 National Safety Month theme — “Moving Safety Forward” — explicitly focuses on culture and forward-thinking systems, not compliance checkboxes. Employers who invest in supervisor safety training, incident investigation protocols, and workforce engagement on safety consistently outperform their class codes on EMR metrics. - Claims Management at First Report
The first 60 minutes after a workplace injury are among the most consequential in determining what that claim ultimately costs. Employers who have a clear first-report protocol — prompt medical direction to an occupational health provider, immediate supervisor documentation, and open communication with the injured worker — consistently close claims faster and at lower cost. BLS data consistently shows that claims left without structured management escalate in both duration and expense.
A Practical Action Checklist for June
Use National Safety Month as a structured prompt. Before June ends:
- Pull your current EMR and review the claims driving it
- Identify any frequency trends by department, shift, or job classification
- Audit your return-to-work program or create one if none exists
- Review your OSHA 300 log for near-misses and unreported minor injuries
- Schedule a pre-renewal meeting with your broker to discuss EMR trajectory and loss control options
The market is working in your favor right now. Workers’ comp premiums are available at favorable rates for businesses that can demonstrate proactive risk management. That window won’t stay open indefinitely and the claims you have today are building the EMR you’ll be paying on three years from now.
Explore commercial insurance solutions and specialty programs built for employers who want to take control of their workers’ compensation costs. For workers’ compensation data, visit NCCI.com. For workplace safety resources, OSHA.gov offers free downloadable National Safety Month tools.
Ready to get your workers’ comp costs where they should be? The team at Tooher-Ferraris has been helping businesses build safer, more cost-effective programs since 1932. Contact us today to schedule a no-obligation consultation.





