Health plan design is about to carry more weight than it has in two decades. PwC’s Health Research Institute projects group medical cost trend of 9% for 2027, the highest in 17 years, and the Business Group on Health found large employers expecting a median 9.2% increase before plan changes. The fastest response is raising what employees pay. Before you do, work through four levers that lower spending without moving it onto paychecks.
Why Raising Contributions Makes a Weak First Move
Cost shifting is already underway. The KFF 2026 Employer Health Benefits Survey found 44% of large firms raised the share of premium workers pay in response to projected increases, and covered workers now contribute $7,471 a year toward family coverage, up 9% from 2025. At smaller firms the burden is heavier: workers pay 37% of the family premium on average, compared with 25% at larger firms. Employers in the Northeast start from a higher base, with average family premiums of $31,378.
Every dollar shifted to employees saves the plan a dollar today. It also pushes some employees to waive coverage, delay care, or take calls from recruiters. Shifting cost leaves the underlying trend untouched, so next year’s renewal starts from the same problem.
A Four-Lever Health Plan Design Framework
Rank each lever by savings potential and employee disruption, then pull the low-disruption levers first.
Lever 1: Pharmacy, Where a Quarter of the Spend Sits
Pharmacy accounts for about 25% of large employers’ health spending, according to the Business Group on Health, and more than 85% of the health plan actuaries PwC surveyed expect pharmacy trend to outpace overall medical trend in 2027. Review your pharmacy benefit manager contract for rebate pass-through, spread pricing, and audit rights. Look at lower-cost generic sourcing as well. KFF found 33% of employers with 50 or more workers already offer access to third-party mail-order generic programs. Our pharmacy management specialists can benchmark your contract terms.

Lever 2: Steer Care to High-Value Providers
Hospital price increases rank among the leading cost drivers employers named in the Business Group on Health survey. Plan design can respond by rewarding employees who choose efficient options. Lower copays for high-performing providers, centers of excellence for joint replacement and spine surgery, and low-cost virtual primary care reduce total spend while making the plan feel more generous to the employee who uses them.
Lever 3: Get Ahead of High-Cost Claims
Cancer was named the top cost driver by 70% of employers in the Business Group on Health survey, up from 58% a year earlier. In most plans a small number of large claims drives a large share of spend. Early identification through claims data, nurse case management, and second-opinion programs can change the course of a costly episode. Self-funded employers should also confirm that stop-loss terms still fit the current claims profile.
Lever 4: Hold Vendors Accountable With Data
Many plans carry point solutions that nobody has measured. Ask each vendor for engagement and outcome data, and cut the ones that cannot show results. KFF found that 60% of large employers agree they can obtain enough information to understand the prices their plan pays providers, which leaves a sizable minority deciding without it. Our data analytics and benchmarking team helps employers get the claims reporting they need to make these calls.
If You Do Shift Cost, Shift It Carefully
Some cost sharing may still be necessary. Tie contribution increases to salary bands so lower-wage employees absorb less, seed HSAs to soften higher deductibles, and explain the change alongside the levers you have already pulled. Employees accept a modest increase more readily when they can see the employer worked to hold it down.
What to Watch Next
Watch three signals between now and your next renewal. First, pharmacy trend, especially how carriers price GLP-1 coverage; KFF found 12% of large employers that do not cover these drugs for weight loss had dropped that coverage within the past year. Second, early 2027 claims experience, since KFF notes forecasts again point to premium increases approaching double digits. Third, your own high-cost claimant report, the clearest signal of where the next renewal is headed. Tooher-Ferraris can model each lever against your claims data before your renewal decision is due.

















